TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
7-4 | Road
67
UC SAN DIEGO
TRITONSUCSD
9-1 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
100%
TRITONS
0%
GREEN WAVE
--
TRITONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
UC SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (UC San Diego)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCSD -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCSD)
TULN By 1-7 points
0.8%
TULN By 8-14 points
0.1%
UCSD By 1-7 points
4.8%
UCSD By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulane
32
TULANE
UC San Diego
55
UC SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
Tulane
72
TULANE
UC San Diego
78
UC SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tritons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tritons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tritons (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Tritons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 87.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
TULN @ UCSD
67 - 93
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.7%
UC San Diego: 42.1%
vs
Tulane: 30.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
UC San Diego: 50.4%
vs
Tulane: 43.6%
Blocks (L5)
+64.0% more
Tulane: 3.9
vs
UC San Diego: 1.4
Steals (L5)
+42.5% more
Tulane: 11.0
vs
UC San Diego: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TULN Score
32.0
67
UCSD Score
55.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.1 / 30.5
35.0 / 20.0
Assists
14.6 / 15.8
21.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.4 / 3.9
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 43.6
47.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
68.0 / 74.1
69.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 33.2
50.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.3 / 11.0
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 11.2
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
UCSD
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
UCSD
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
UCSD
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCSD
TULN
UCSD
TULN
ML
56%
19-15
70%
23-10
65%
22-12
47%
15-17
ATS
50%
17-17
62%
20-12-1
65%
22-12
47%
15-17
TTL
62%
21-13
55%
18-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
