Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Jaspers @ Rams MAN @ FOR

MANHATTAN

JASPERSMAN

4-7  |  Road

53
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 2:00 PM ET
Rose Hill Gym
View Odds Details →

FORDHAM

RAMSFOR

8-4  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
0%
📊
RAMS
100%
JASPERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MANHATTAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Manhattan)
JaspersMAN (-3.5) 0 RamsFOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaspers Cover

97.7%

Rams Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MAN -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MAN)

MAN By 1-7 points

8.0%

MAN By 8-14 points

18.6%

FOR By 1-7 points

1.7%

FOR By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
82
MANHATTAN
62
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
68
MANHATTAN
71
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaspers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jaspers (-8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 MAN @ FOR 53 - 82
Nov 15, 2024 FOR @ MAN 76 - 78
Nov 27, 2023 MAN @ FOR 61 - 93
Nov 12, 2021 FOR @ MAN 60 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +31.7% more
Manhattan: 3.6 vs Fordham: 2.5
Steals (L5) +23.9% more
Manhattan: 9.3 vs Fordham: 7.1
Turnovers (L5) +12.7% more
Manhattan: 13.0 vs Fordham: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5) +8.2%
Manhattan: 77.3% vs Fordham: 69.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MAN Score 82.0 53
FOR Score 62.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 33.3 32.0 / 21.0
Assists 15.3 / 11.0 20.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.6 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 41.7 55.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 69.1 / 77.3 75.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 34.4 47.0 / 21.0
Steals 7.1 / 9.3 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 13.0 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
FOR Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1 (36.7%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
FOR Advantage
16-12-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +2.4
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9% Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
MAN
FOR
MAN
ML
59% 19-13
52% 16-15
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
ATS
59% 19-13
52% 16-15
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
TTL
59% 19-13
77% 24-7
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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