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NORTH DAKOTA STATE

BISONNDSU

8-3  |  Road

99
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 2:00 PM ET
Knapp Center
View Odds Details →

DRAKE

BULLDOGSDRKE

6-4  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
BISON --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
DRAKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Drake)
BisonNDSU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsDRKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

0.0%

Bulldogs Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DRKE -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DRKE)

NDSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

NDSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

DRKE By 1-7 points

0.1%

DRKE By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
36
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
76
DRAKE
Simulated Score
68
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
81
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 NDSU @ DRKE 99 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +40.3% more
Drake: 15.8 vs North Dakota State: 11.3
Blocks (L5) +24.8% more
Drake: 4.2 vs North Dakota State: 3.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.2%
Drake: 42.6% vs North Dakota State: 29.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.5%
Drake: 49.3% vs North Dakota State: 41.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NDSU Score 36.0 99
DRKE Score 76.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.6 / 29.4 52.0 / 58.0
Assists 15.8 / 11.3 22.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.4 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.3 / 41.8 52.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 77.6 / 71.3 90.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 41.4 33.0 / 27.0
Steals 5.9 / 9.4 2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 8.0 / 13.1 13.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NDSU Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
DRKE
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NDSU Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
DRKE
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.9
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
NDSU
DRKE
NDSU
ML
59% 20-14
49% 17-18
38% 13-21
59% 20-14
ATS
85% 29-5
54% 19-16
38% 13-21
59% 20-14
TTL
56% 19-15
43% 15-20
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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