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THE CITADEL

BULLDOGSCIT

3-8  |  Road

55
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

7-3  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
BULLDOGS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-57.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +57.0 points (South Carolina)
BulldogsCIT (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

0.0%

Gamecocks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -57.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

CIT By 1-7 points

0.0%

CIT By 8-14 points

0.0%

SC By 1-7 points

0.0%

SC By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
55
THE CITADEL
112
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
60
THE CITADEL
78
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (-24.5) Win
Proj Spread: -57.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 CIT @ SC 55 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +63.9% more
South Carolina: 2.0 vs The Citadel: 1.2
Free Throw % (L5) +8.1%
South Carolina: 77.6% vs The Citadel: 69.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
South Carolina: 47.9% vs The Citadel: 43.0%
Steals (L5) +24.5% more
The Citadel: 5.6 vs South Carolina: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIT Score 55.0 55
SC Score 112.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 32.5 13.0 / 11.0
Assists 14.0 / 13.6 10.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.0 / 1.2 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 43.0 42.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 77.6 / 69.5 86.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 35.0 40.0 / 32.0
Steals 4.2 / 5.6 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 9.3 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIT
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
SC Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIT Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.9
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
CIT
SC
CIT
ML
72% 23-9
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
62% 20-12
ATS
69% 22-10
62% 20-12
68% 21-10
64% 21-12
TTL
50% 16-16
53% 17-15
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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