SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
15-14-3 | Road
6
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
14-8-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 4.90 | 0.884 | -- |
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 5.74 | 0.806 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.90 Ldr
GAA
5.74
0.884 Ldr
Save %
0.806
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
SHARKS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
San Jose
5
SAN JOSE
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Penguins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
SJ @ PIT
6 - 5
Oct 18, 2025
PIT @ SJ
3 - 0
Jan 27, 2025
PIT @ SJ
1 - 2
Nov 16, 2024
SJ @ PIT
3 - 4
Mar 14, 2024
SJ @ PIT
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+101.4% more
Pittsburgh: 7.1
vs
San Jose: 3.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+45.2% more
Pittsburgh: 35.9
vs
San Jose: 24.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+12.5%
Pittsburgh: 53.7%
vs
San Jose: 41.2%
Power Play % (L5)
+9.7%
Pittsburgh: 22.0%
vs
San Jose: 12.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
3.0
6
PIT Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.0 / 15.9
21.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
53.7 / 41.2
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
20.0 / 23.0
14.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
22.0 / 12.3
60.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
35.9 / 24.7
43.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
7.1 / 3.5
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
SJ
PIT
SJ
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
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