MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
16-11-3 | Road
4
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
15-13-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jacob Fowler
#32 | G@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fowler | None-None | 4.77 | 0.828 | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 3.87 | 0.778 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.77
GAA
Ldr 3.87
0.828 Ldr
Save %
0.778
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
RANGERS
0%
CANADIENS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
MTL By 1 goal
6.6%
MTL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
NYR By 1 goal
17.5%
NYR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
MTL @ NYR
3 - 2
Dec 13, 2025
MTL @ NYR
4 - 5
Oct 18, 2025
NYR @ MTL
4 - 3
Jan 19, 2025
NYR @ MTL
4 - 5
Nov 30, 2024
MTL @ NYR
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+70.1% more
New York: 31.7
vs
Montreal: 18.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.2%
New York: 57.7%
vs
Montreal: 49.5%
Power Play % (L5)
+25.6%
Montreal: 28.4%
vs
New York: 2.8%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.6% more
Montreal: 27.9
vs
New York: 24.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
2.0
4
NYR Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 18.0
18.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
57.7 / 49.5
53.1 / 46.9
Hits
31.7 / 18.6
32.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
2.8 / 28.4
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.6 / 27.9
29.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
2.7 / 2.6
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
MTL
NYR
MTL
ML
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
ATS
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
100%
3-0
TTL
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …