FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
15-13-2 | Road
4
DALLAS
STARSDAL
21-6-5 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alexander Petrovic
#-- | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Petrovic | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.16 | 0.864 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.16
--
Save %
0.864
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
STARS
0%
PANTHERS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
FLA By 1 goal
12.1%
FLA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
FLA @ DAL
4 - 0
Nov 1, 2025
DAL @ FLA
3 - 4
Nov 2, 2024
DAL @ FLA
2 - 4
Nov 1, 2024
FLA @ DAL
6 - 4
Mar 12, 2024
FLA @ DAL
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+47.0%
Dallas: 52.5%
vs
Florida: 5.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.7% more
Dallas: 15.8
vs
Florida: 12.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.9%
Dallas: 53.1%
vs
Florida: 42.1%
Hits (L5)
+46.2% more
Florida: 24.5
vs
Dallas: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
3.0
4
DAL Score
4.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 12.9
18.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
53.1 / 42.1
47.3 / 52.7
Hits
13.2 / 24.5
13.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
52.5 / 5.5
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
21.3 / 30.8
15.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
6.3 / 5.9
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
FLA
DAL
FLA
ML
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
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