UL MONROE
WARHAWKSULM
3-7 | Road
79
MIAMI
HURRICANESMIA
8-2 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
WARHAWKS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
WARHAWKS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
ULM By 1-7 points
4.0%
ULM By 8-14 points
0.8%
MIA By 1-7 points
13.7%
MIA By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UL Monroe
70
UL MONROE
Miami
86
MIAMI
Simulated Score
UL Monroe
65
UL MONROE
Miami
82
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+36)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.0
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u153.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
ULM @ MIA
79 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+52.5% more
Miami: 8.3
vs
UL Monroe: 5.5
Assists (L5)
+40.2% more
Miami: 17.3
vs
UL Monroe: 12.4
Turnovers (L5)
+19.7% more
Miami: 14.2
vs
UL Monroe: 11.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.2%
Miami: 40.0%
vs
UL Monroe: 24.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ULM Score
70.0
79
MIA Score
86.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.0 / 24.8
44.0 / 47.0
Assists
17.3 / 12.4
28.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.8 / 5.0
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 39.4
60.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
66.4 / 75.2
53.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
39.8 / 37.1
45.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.3 / 5.5
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 11.9
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ULM
4-28-0
(12.5%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
MIA
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ULM
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
MIA
18-15-1
(54.6%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ULM
20-9-1
O: 69.0% / U: 31.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
ULM
MIA
ULM
ML
63%
22-13
50%
16-16
64%
21-12
70%
21-9
ATS
63%
22-13
78%
25-7
64%
21-12
70%
21-9
TTL
63%
22-13
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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