UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
3-8 | Road
79
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
7-3 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
OWLS
0%
GREAT DANES
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FAU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
UALB By 1-7 points
3.3%
UALB By 8-14 points
0.6%
FAU By 1-7 points
12.2%
FAU By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UAlbany
66
UALBANY
Florida Atlantic
83
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Simulated Score
UAlbany
64
UALBANY
Florida Atlantic
82
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
UALB @ FAU
79 - 105
Nov 26, 2022
FAU @ UALB
73 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+96.7% more
Florida Atlantic: 5.4
vs
UAlbany: 2.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+29.1%
Florida Atlantic: 84.3%
vs
UAlbany: 55.2%
Rebounding (L5)
+23.4% more
Florida Atlantic: 41.1
vs
UAlbany: 33.3
Turnovers (L5)
+14.7% more
Florida Atlantic: 10.9
vs
UAlbany: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UALB Score
66.0
79
FAU Score
83.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 33.7
46.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.4 / 15.8
24.0 / 12.0
Blocks
5.4 / 2.8
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 46.5
56.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
84.3 / 55.2
62.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 33.3
42.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.6 / 7.0
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 9.5
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
FAU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
FAU
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAU
UALB
FAU
UALB
ML
64%
21-12
55%
17-14
66%
21-11
71%
22-9
ATS
70%
23-10
77%
24-7
66%
21-11
72%
23-9
TTL
58%
19-14
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
