AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEMONS
0%
SHOCKERS
100%
BLUE DEMONS
--
SHOCKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (DePaul)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEP -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)
DEP By 1-7 points
21.6%
DEP By 8-14 points
27.4%
WICH By 1-7 points
9.3%
WICH By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
DePaul
66
DEPAUL
Wichita State
55
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
DePaul
75
DEPAUL
Wichita State
68
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Demons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Demons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Demons (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Blue Demons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
DEP @ WICH
61 - 58
Dec 14, 2024
WICH @ DEP
72 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+34.9% more
DePaul: 7.9
vs
Wichita State: 5.1
Assists (L5)
+31.3% more
DePaul: 17.3
vs
Wichita State: 11.9
Blocks (L5)
+13.8% more
DePaul: 3.5
vs
Wichita State: 3.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
DePaul: 48.2%
vs
Wichita State: 46.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEP Score
66.0
61
WICH Score
55.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 35.7
29.0 / 41.0
Assists
11.9 / 17.3
5.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.5
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 48.2
38.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
75.5 / 72.3
46.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 31.2
33.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.1 / 7.9
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 9.8
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEP
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEP
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
DEP
WICH
DEP
ML
61%
22-14
59%
19-13
68%
23-11
80%
24-6
ATS
64%
23-13
50%
16-16
68%
23-11
80%
24-6
TTL
69%
25-11
53%
17-15
100%
34-0
100%
30-0