Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bearcats @ Bulldogs CIN @ UGA

CINCINNATI

BEARCATSCIN

6-3  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 2:00 PM ET
State Farm Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA

BULLDOGSUGA

8-1  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
BEARCATS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
91.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Georgia)
BearcatsCIN (-3.5) 0 BulldogsUGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bearcats Cover

2.9%

Bulldogs Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UGA -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)

CIN By 1-7 points

2.2%

CIN By 8-14 points

0.4%

UGA By 1-7 points

9.3%

UGA By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
36
CINCINNATI
55
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
70
CINCINNATI
72
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 91.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 CIN @ UGA 65 - 84
Nov 13, 2021 UGA @ CIN 68 - 73
Dec 19, 2020 CIN @ UGA 68 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +71.6% more
Georgia: 8.8 vs Cincinnati: 5.1
Steals (L5) +42.0% more
Georgia: 9.4 vs Cincinnati: 6.6
Free Throw % (L5) +14.4%
Georgia: 75.2% vs Cincinnati: 60.8%
Assists (L5) +11.0% more
Georgia: 19.1 vs Cincinnati: 17.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 36.0 65
UGA Score 55.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 33.6 19.0 / 26.0
Assists 19.1 / 17.2 18.0 / 17.0
Blocks 8.8 / 5.1 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 51.6 / 40.9 50.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 75.2 / 60.8 77.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 44.4 / 41.5 41.0 / 37.0
Steals 9.4 / 6.6 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 13.1 15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
UGA Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
UGA Advantage
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -4.6
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
CIN
UGA
CIN
ML
67% 22-11
67% 22-11
56% 18-14
74% 23-8
ATS
61% 20-13
64% 21-12
56% 18-14
74% 23-8
TTL
64% 21-12
67% 22-11
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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