UMASS LOWELL
RIVER HAWKSUML
4-8 | Road
71
QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
8-3 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
RIVER HAWKS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUIN -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
UML By 1-7 points
0.1%
UML By 8-14 points
0.0%
QUIN By 1-7 points
1.1%
QUIN By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
UMass Lowell
61
UMASS LOWELL
Quinnipiac
91
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
UMass Lowell
68
UMASS LOWELL
Quinnipiac
72
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (-14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
UML @ QUIN
71 - 75
Nov 23, 2024
QUIN @ UML
70 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+93.5% more
Quinnipiac: 4.8
vs
UMass Lowell: 2.5
Steals (L5)
+53.3% more
Quinnipiac: 8.9
vs
UMass Lowell: 5.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.5%
Quinnipiac: 39.1%
vs
UMass Lowell: 26.6%
Assists (L5)
+9.0% more
Quinnipiac: 17.1
vs
UMass Lowell: 15.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UML Score
61.0
71
QUIN Score
91.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 26.6
25.0 / 53.0
Assists
17.1 / 15.7
9.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.8 / 2.5
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 50.6
41.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 62.7
66.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
38.4 / 47.8
34.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.9 / 5.8
15.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 12.9
10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
UML
QUIN
UML
ML
66%
21-11
70%
23-10
53%
17-15
58%
19-14
ATS
59%
19-13
70%
23-10
53%
17-15
58%
19-14
TTL
62%
20-12
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
