Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Peacocks @ Hoyas SPU @ GTWN

SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

4-4  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 2:30 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

6-3  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
100%
📊
HOYAS
0%
PEACOCKS --
HOYAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
98.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Georgetown)
PeacocksSPU (-3.5) 0 HoyasGTWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Peacocks Cover

34.5%

Hoyas Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GTWN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)

SPU By 1-7 points

20.1%

SPU By 8-14 points

9.3%

GTWN By 1-7 points

27.4%

GTWN By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
47
SAINT PETER'S
51
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
68
SAINT PETER'S
71
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hoyas Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hoyas Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hoyas (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Hoyas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 98.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 SPU @ GTWN 68 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +49.8% more
Georgetown: 3.3 vs Saint Peter's: 2.2
Assists (L5) +33.2% more
Georgetown: 15.4 vs Saint Peter's: 11.6
Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
Georgetown: 41.9% vs Saint Peter's: 40.0%
Steals (L5) +33.9% more
Saint Peter's: 10.8 vs Georgetown: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SPU Score 47.0 68
GTWN Score 51.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 30.7 25.0 / 24.0
Assists 15.4 / 11.6 19.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.2 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 40.0 48.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 72.9 / 82.1 67.0 / 66.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 33.0 43.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.2 / 10.8 3.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 7.2 / 10.1 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
GTWN
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU Advantage
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
GTWN
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GTWN
SPU
GTWN
SPU
ML
67% 22-11
64% 18-10
73% 22-8
71% 20-8
ATS
58% 19-14
71% 20-8
73% 22-8
71% 20-8
TTL
58% 19-14
61% 17-11
100% 30-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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