Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ragin' Cajuns @ Bulldogs UL @ LT

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

1-9  |  Road

44
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 3:00 PM ET
Thomas Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

5-3  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
Ragin' CajunsUL (-3.5) 0 BulldogsLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

3.6%

Bulldogs Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LT -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

UL By 1-7 points

2.7%

UL By 8-14 points

0.5%

LT By 1-7 points

10.7%

LT By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
52
LOUISIANA
70
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
72
LOUISIANA
75
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u126.5 Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u126.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 UL @ LT 44 - 65
Dec 8, 2024 LT @ UL 69 - 58
Dec 9, 2023 UL @ LT 67 - 72
Nov 17, 2022 LT @ UL 88 - 94
Dec 11, 2021 UL @ LT 69 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +84.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 5.5 vs Louisiana: 3.0
Steals (L5) +74.9% more
Louisiana Tech: 7.8 vs Louisiana: 4.5
Assists (L5) +55.6% more
Louisiana Tech: 16.3 vs Louisiana: 10.5
Rebounding (L5) +33.7% more
Louisiana Tech: 40.8 vs Louisiana: 30.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UL Score 52.0 44
LT Score 70.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 28.7 29.0 / 30.0
Assists 16.3 / 10.5 10.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.5 / 3.0 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 53.2 / 37.4 45.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 62.5 / 70.7 84.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 40.8 / 30.5 37.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.8 / 4.5 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 13.4 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UL
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UL
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
UL
LT
UL
ML
58% 19-14
66% 21-11
72% 23-9
63% 19-11
ATS
61% 20-13
66% 21-11
72% 23-9
63% 19-11
TTL
61% 20-13
62% 20-12
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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