HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
7-4 | Road
70
SYRACUSE
ORANGESYR
6-3 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
ORANGE
100%
PRIDE
--
ORANGE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
HOF By 1-7 points
15.3%
HOF By 8-14 points
25.3%
SYR By 1-7 points
4.8%
SYR By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Hofstra
80
HOFSTRA
Syracuse
65
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
Hofstra
70
HOFSTRA
Syracuse
78
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orange
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pride (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Orange (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
HOF @ SYR
70 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+31.2% more
Hofstra: 15.5
vs
Syracuse: 10.7
Rebounding (L5)
+18.2% more
Hofstra: 41.3
vs
Syracuse: 33.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.4%
Hofstra: 64.6%
vs
Syracuse: 57.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
Hofstra: 51.0%
vs
Syracuse: 43.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOF Score
80.0
70
SYR Score
65.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 39.4
35.0 / 67.0
Assists
10.7 / 15.5
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
6.2 / 4.6
9.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 51.0
46.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
57.2 / 64.6
56.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 41.3
34.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.5 / 5.9
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 10.3
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
SYR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
SYR
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
HOF
SYR
HOF
ML
78%
25-7
77%
27-8
69%
22-10
71%
25-10
ATS
69%
22-10
83%
29-6
69%
22-10
71%
25-10
TTL
66%
21-11
51%
18-17
100%
32-0
100%
35-0
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