SE LOUISIANA
LIONSSELA
3-6 | Road
74
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
5-4 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
HUSKIES
100%
LIONS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
SE LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (SE Louisiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SELA -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SELA)
SELA By 1-7 points
16.9%
SELA By 8-14 points
26.2%
HCU By 1-7 points
5.8%
HCU By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
SE Louisiana
65
SE LOUISIANA
Houston Christian
51
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
SE Louisiana
69
SE LOUISIANA
Houston Christian
78
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
HCU @ SELA
47 - 55
Dec 13, 2025
SELA @ HCU
74 - 71
Feb 10, 2025
SELA @ HCU
69 - 60
Jan 27, 2025
HCU @ SELA
70 - 62
Feb 17, 2024
HCU @ SELA
78 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+36.7% more
SE Louisiana: 12.8
vs
Houston Christian: 8.1
Steals (L5)
+28.6% more
SE Louisiana: 8.3
vs
Houston Christian: 5.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.4%
SE Louisiana: 72.5%
vs
Houston Christian: 66.1%
Blocks (L5)
+46.8% more
Houston Christian: 3.9
vs
SE Louisiana: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SELA Score
65.0
74
HCU Score
51.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 27.8
32.0 / 40.0
Assists
16.1 / 12.2
20.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.7
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 44.3
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
66.1 / 72.5
67.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
32.5 / 30.5
38.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.9 / 8.3
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
8.1 / 12.8
16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SELA
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
HCU
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SELA
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
HCU
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HCU
SELA
HCU
SELA
ML
68%
21-10
70%
21-9
81%
25-6
66%
19-10
ATS
58%
18-13
60%
18-12
81%
26-6
67%
20-10
TTL
68%
21-10
70%
21-9
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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