Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Thunderbirds @ Huskies SUU @ WASH

SOUTHERN UTAH

THUNDERBIRDSSUU

4-7  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 6:00 PM ET
Alaska Airlines Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

6-3  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDERBIRDS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
THUNDERBIRDS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
ThunderbirdsSUU (-3.5) 0 HuskiesWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Thunderbirds Cover

46.0%

Huskies Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

SUU By 1-7 points

24.3%

SUU By 8-14 points

13.7%

WASH By 1-7 points

26.2%

WASH By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
SOUTHERN UTAH
39
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
65
SOUTHERN UTAH
78
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 SUU @ WASH 69 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +6.0%
Washington: 78.8% vs Southern Utah: 72.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
Washington: 35.3% vs Southern Utah: 31.7%
Steals (L5) +31.0% more
Southern Utah: 8.1 vs Washington: 5.6
Assists (L5) +28.0% more
Southern Utah: 18.5 vs Washington: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SUU Score 38.0 69
WASH Score 39.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.3 / 31.7 44.0 / 29.0
Assists 13.3 / 18.5 21.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.7 / 4.1 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 47.3 53.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 78.8 / 72.8 78.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 39.8 / 37.5 43.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.6 / 8.1 4.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 12.3 2.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SUU
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: 0.0
WASH Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SUU
14-14-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: 0.0
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SUU
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +3.5
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
SUU
WASH
SUU
ML
45% 15-18
61% 19-12
66% 21-11
68% 21-10
ATS
48% 16-17
71% 22-9
66% 21-11
69% 22-10
TTL
70% 23-10
52% 16-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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