GEORGIA SOUTHERN

EAGLESGASO

7-5  |  Road

91
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 7:00 PM ET
The Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST GEORGIA

WOLVESWGA

5-4  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
WOLVES
100%
EAGLES --
WOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
WEST GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
EaglesGASO (-3.5) 0 WolvesWGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

34.5%

Wolves Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WGA +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WGA)

GASO By 1-7 points

27.4%

GASO By 8-14 points

21.6%

WGA By 1-7 points

20.1%

WGA By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
66
WEST GEORGIA
Simulated Score
74
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
77
WEST GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolves (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Wolves (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 GASO @ WGA 91 - 85
Nov 23, 2024 WGA @ GASO 54 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +10.0% more
Georgia Southern: 8.0 vs West Georgia: 7.2
Free Throw % (L5) +8.2%
Georgia Southern: 72.2% vs West Georgia: 64.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.6%
Georgia Southern: 47.3% vs West Georgia: 40.6%
Turnovers (L5) +21.8% more
West Georgia: 11.1 vs Georgia Southern: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GASO Score 70.0 91
WGA Score 66.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 34.9 38.0 / 37.0
Assists 13.7 / 14.0 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.8 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 47.3 46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 64.0 / 72.2 95.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 36.1 / 37.6 41.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.2 / 8.0 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 9.1 17.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
WGA
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
WGA Advantage
21-9-0 (70.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6% Total +/-: +2.6
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +2.2