AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
WOLVES
100%
EAGLES
--
WOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
WEST GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WGA +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WGA)
GASO By 1-7 points
27.4%
GASO By 8-14 points
21.6%
WGA By 1-7 points
20.1%
WGA By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia Southern
70
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
West Georgia
66
WEST GEORGIA
Simulated Score
Georgia Southern
74
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
West Georgia
77
WEST GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolves (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Wolves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
GASO @ WGA
91 - 85
Nov 23, 2024
WGA @ GASO
54 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+10.0% more
Georgia Southern: 8.0
vs
West Georgia: 7.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.2%
Georgia Southern: 72.2%
vs
West Georgia: 64.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Georgia Southern: 47.3%
vs
West Georgia: 40.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+21.8% more
West Georgia: 11.1
vs
Georgia Southern: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GASO Score
70.0
91
WGA Score
66.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 34.9
38.0 / 37.0
Assists
13.7 / 14.0
11.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.8
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.6 / 47.3
46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
64.0 / 72.2
95.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 37.6
41.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.2 / 8.0
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 9.1
17.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
WGA
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO
17-18-0
(48.6%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
WGA
Advantage
21-9-0
(70.0%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6%
Total +/-: +2.6
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WGA
GASO
WGA
GASO
ML
58%
18-13
56%
20-16
61%
19-12
58%
19-14
ATS
71%
22-9
64%
23-13
61%
19-12
58%
19-14
TTL
55%
17-14
61%
22-14
100%
31-0
100%
33-0