CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
3-6 | Road
55
STONY BROOK
SEAWOLVESSTBK
7-3 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
SEAWOLVES
0%
CHIPPEWAS
--
SEAWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
STONY BROOK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Stony Brook)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STBK -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STBK)
CMU By 1-7 points
0.5%
CMU By 8-14 points
0.1%
STBK By 1-7 points
3.3%
STBK By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Michigan
58
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Stony Brook
83
STONY BROOK
Simulated Score
Central Michigan
68
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Stony Brook
72
STONY BROOK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Seawolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seawolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Seawolves (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Seawolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
CMU @ STBK
55 - 78
Nov 7, 2024
STBK @ CMU
73 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+56.4% more
Stony Brook: 7.7
vs
Central Michigan: 4.9
Blocks (L5)
+19.8% more
Stony Brook: 4.1
vs
Central Michigan: 3.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Stony Brook: 73.2%
vs
Central Michigan: 71.1%
Assists (L5)
+24.2% more
Central Michigan: 17.8
vs
Stony Brook: 13.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CMU Score
58.0
55
STBK Score
83.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 31.7
65.0 / 13.0
Assists
13.5 / 17.8
14.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.4
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.5 / 47.2
57.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 71.1
73.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 32.7
45.0 / 18.0
Steals
7.7 / 4.9
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 13.3
20.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
STBK
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
STBK
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STBK
CMU
STBK
CMU
ML
61%
19-12
57%
17-13
71%
22-9
70%
21-9
ATS
61%
19-12
67%
20-10
71%
22-9
70%
21-9
TTL
65%
20-11
67%
20-10
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
