MICHIGAN
WOLVERINESMICH
9-0 | Road
101
MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
6-4 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
0%
TERRAPINS
100%
WOLVERINES
--
TERRAPINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MD +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MD)
MICH By 1-7 points
27.2%
MICH By 8-14 points
20.1%
MD By 1-7 points
21.6%
MD By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Michigan
69
MICHIGAN
Maryland
66
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Michigan
68
MICHIGAN
Maryland
72
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wolverines
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terrapins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terrapins (+19)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Terrapins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
MICH @ MD
101 - 83
Mar 15, 2025
MICH @ MD
81 - 80
Mar 5, 2025
MD @ MICH
71 - 65
Jan 11, 2024
MICH @ MD
57 - 64
Jan 19, 2023
MICH @ MD
58 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+62.9% more
Michigan: 6.1
vs
Maryland: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+51.2% more
Michigan: 20.7
vs
Maryland: 10.1
Steals (L5)
+21.4% more
Michigan: 8.0
vs
Maryland: 6.3
Rebounding (L5)
+18.3% more
Michigan: 47.3
vs
Maryland: 38.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MICH Score
69.0
101
MD Score
66.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 35.8
52.0 / 63.0
Assists
10.1 / 20.7
9.0 / 28.0
Blocks
2.3 / 6.1
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
38.7 / 52.6
49.0 / 60.0
Free Throw %
68.4 / 65.7
69.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
38.6 / 47.3
29.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.3 / 8.0
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 12.2
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MICH
Advantage
37-3-0
(92.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MICH
19-21-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
MD
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
MICH
MD
MICH
ML
70%
23-10
78%
31-9
67%
22-11
63%
24-14
ATS
64%
21-12
78%
31-9
67%
22-11
63%
24-14
TTL
64%
21-12
57%
23-17
100%
33-0
100%
38-0
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