MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
9-0 | Road
79
EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
3-7 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
COLONELS
100%
REDHAWKS
--
COLONELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Miami (OH))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around M-OH -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)
M-OH By 1-7 points
23.0%
M-OH By 8-14 points
27.2%
EKU By 1-7 points
10.7%
EKU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami (OH)
95
MIAMI (OH)
Eastern Kentucky
85
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Miami (OH)
72
MIAMI (OH)
Eastern Kentucky
75
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
RedHawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
RedHawks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Colonels (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
M-OH @ EKU
79 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+9.5% more
Miami (OH): 18.0
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 16.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
Miami (OH): 51.0%
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 43.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
Miami (OH): 37.6%
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 31.3%
Blocks (L5)
+46.4% more
Eastern Kentucky: 3.3
vs
Miami (OH): 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score
95.0
79
EKU Score
85.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 37.6
31.0 / 40.0
Assists
16.3 / 18.0
11.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.2
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 51.0
34.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 76.5
77.0 / 33.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 38.0
43.0 / 32.0
Steals
10.2 / 8.0
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 9.7
14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
EKU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EKU
M-OH
EKU
M-OH
ML
44%
14-18
45%
15-18
69%
22-10
41%
13-19
ATS
56%
18-14
61%
20-13
69%
22-10
41%
13-19
TTL
53%
17-15
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
