Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dons @ Billikens SF @ SLU

SAN FRANCISCO

DONSSF

6-4  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 8:00 PM ET
Chaifetz Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

8-1  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
DONS
0%
📊
BILLIKENS
100%
DONS --
BILLIKENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (San Francisco)
DonsSF (-3.5) 0 BillikensSLU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dons Cover

86.4%

Billikens Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SF -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-7 points

21.6%

SF By 8-14 points

27.4%

SLU By 1-7 points

9.3%

SLU By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
80
SAN FRANCISCO
69
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
72
SAN FRANCISCO
75
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Billikens Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dons (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Billikens (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 SF @ SLU 75 - 85
Dec 5, 2024 SLU @ SF 61 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +62.5% more
San Francisco: 5.3 vs Saint Louis: 2.0
Steals (L5) +115.9% more
Saint Louis: 8.0 vs San Francisco: 3.7
Assists (L5) +49.8% more
Saint Louis: 21.0 vs San Francisco: 14.0
Turnovers (L5) +14.5% more
Saint Louis: 11.3 vs San Francisco: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 80.0 75
SLU Score 69.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 31.2 29.0 / 28.0
Assists 21.0 / 14.0 20.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.0 / 5.3 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 42.3 48.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 78.6 / 65.5 72.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 42.5 / 37.1 44.0 / 33.0
Steals 8.0 / 3.7 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 9.9 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: -2.4
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: -2.4
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.1
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
SF
SLU
SF
ML
70% 23-10
39% 13-20
68% 21-10
64% 21-12
ATS
73% 24-9
42% 14-19
68% 21-10
64% 21-12
TTL
61% 20-13
73% 24-9
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 10 hours, 53 minutes ago
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
aggieswire 4 days, 17 hours ago
Kentucky Fans Weigh In on Senate Bill That Could Transform Colle…
wkyt 5 days, 5 hours ago
Jess Sims Conquers Hay Bale Toss on College GameDay in Iowa
awfulannouncing 5 days, 10 hours ago
Lee University Basketball Alum Todd Amburgy: A Legacy of Defense…
chattanoogan 5 days, 23 hours ago