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KANSAS STATE

WILDCATSKSU

6-4  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 3:00 PM ET
CHI Health Center Omaha
View Odds Details →

CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

5-4  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
BLUEJAYS
0%
WILDCATS --
BLUEJAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Creighton)
WildcatsKSU (-3.5) 0 BluejaysCREI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

6.7%

Bluejays Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CREI -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)

KSU By 1-7 points

4.8%

KSU By 8-14 points

1.1%

CREI By 1-7 points

15.3%

CREI By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
61
KANSAS STATE
76
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
72
KANSAS STATE
76
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bluejays Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bluejays Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bluejays (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Bluejays (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 KSU @ CREI 83 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +5.7%
Creighton: 75.5% vs Kansas State: 69.7%
Steals (L5) +55.0% more
Kansas State: 8.0 vs Creighton: 3.6
Blocks (L5) +33.8% more
Kansas State: 4.8 vs Creighton: 3.2
Assists (L5) +23.4% more
Kansas State: 20.0 vs Creighton: 15.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KSU Score 61.0 83
CREI Score 76.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 37.5 38.0 / 43.0
Assists 15.4 / 20.0 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.8 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 47.1 40.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 75.5 / 69.7 93.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 35.1 / 39.8 35.0 / 42.0
Steals 3.6 / 8.0 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 13.4 7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -2.9
CREI Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KSU Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -2.9
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +0.1
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
KSU
CREI
KSU
ML
52% 17-16
59% 19-13
70% 21-9
69% 22-10
ATS
58% 19-14
62% 20-12
70% 21-9
69% 22-10
TTL
52% 17-16
47% 15-17
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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