CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
14-11 | Road
130
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
3-19 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
15.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
25.3%
WSH By 1-7 points
4.8%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
125
CLEVELAND
Washington
110
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Cleveland
100
CLEVELAND
Washington
112
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-15)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Wizards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u245.5
Loss
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u245.5
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
WSH @ CLE
117 - 130
Feb 11, 2026
WSH @ CLE
113 - 138
Dec 12, 2025
CLE @ WSH
130 - 126
Nov 7, 2025
CLE @ WSH
148 - 115
Feb 7, 2025
CLE @ WSH
134 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+27.8% more
Cleveland: 51.0
vs
Washington: 36.9
Steals (L5)
+21.9% more
Cleveland: 8.2
vs
Washington: 6.4
Turnovers (L5)
+40.0% more
Washington: 17.0
vs
Cleveland: 12.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Washington: 36.4%
vs
Cleveland: 29.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
125.0
130
WSH Score
110.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 29.4
36.0 / 28.0
Assists
25.5 / 23.6
29.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.8 / 5.4
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 44.6
49.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 80.2
81.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 51.0
49.0 / 48.0
Steals
6.4 / 8.2
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
17.0 / 12.1
16.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
WSH
Advantage
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CLE
WSH
CLE
ML
70%
112-49
60%
69-46
47%
39-44
56%
55-44
ATS
69%
111-49-1
67%
75-37-3
47%
39-44
56%
55-44
TTL
74%
119-41-1
59%
68-47
100%
83-0
100%
99-0
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