Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pacers @ 76ers IND @ PHI

INDIANA

PACERSIND

6-18  |  Road

105
FINAL
Fri, Dec 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

13-10  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
PACERS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
PacersIND (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pacers Cover

46.0%

76ers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

IND By 1-7 points

24.3%

IND By 8-14 points

13.7%

PHI By 1-7 points

26.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
125
INDIANA
126
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
115
INDIANA
118
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 76ers (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o222.5 Loss
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim u222.5 Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 PHI @ IND 105 - 94
Feb 24, 2026 PHI @ IND 135 - 114
Jan 19, 2026 IND @ PHI 104 - 113
Dec 12, 2025 IND @ PHI 105 - 115
Mar 14, 2025 IND @ PHI 112 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +22.3% more
Philadelphia: 48.0 vs Indiana: 39.2
Free Throw % (L5) +4.7%
Philadelphia: 86.0% vs Indiana: 81.3%
Blocks (L5) +36.9% more
Indiana: 7.0 vs Philadelphia: 4.4
Steals (L5) +16.5% more
Indiana: 10.6 vs Philadelphia: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IND Score 125.0 105
PHI Score 126.0 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 40.5 32.0 / 34.0
Assists 23.7 / 23.9 22.0 / 26.0
Blocks 4.4 / 7.0 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 48.4 44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 86.0 / 81.3 77.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 48.0 / 39.2 50.0 / 46.0
Steals 8.8 / 10.6 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 13.9 13.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
IND
PHI
IND
ML
63% 69-40
48% 47-50
48% 45-48
54% 45-38
ATS
65% 71-38
59% 57-40
48% 45-48
54% 45-38
TTL
55% 60-49
54% 52-45
100% 93-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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