SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
BULLDOGSSCST
0-10 | Road
78
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
4-5 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
ROYALS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Queens University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUC -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
SCST By 1-7 points
15.3%
SCST By 8-14 points
5.8%
QUC By 1-7 points
26.2%
QUC By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina State
88
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Queens University
95
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
South Carolina State
72
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Queens University
78
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 12, 2025
SCST @ QUC
78 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+124.4% more
Queens University: 18.0
vs
South Carolina State: 8.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+14.4%
Queens University: 50.3%
vs
South Carolina State: 35.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.0%
Queens University: 70.6%
vs
South Carolina State: 58.6%
Blocks (L5)
+11.9% more
Queens University: 2.8
vs
South Carolina State: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SCST Score
88.0
78
QUC Score
95.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.6 / 30.8
36.0 / 44.0
Assists
18.0 / 8.0
24.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.5
9.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 35.8
50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 58.6
76.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 34.9
38.0 / 40.0
Steals
4.8 / 6.5
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 14.1
6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -11.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
Advantage
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -11.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.6
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
SCST
QUC
SCST
ML
71%
25-10
61%
19-12
71%
24-10
74%
20-7
ATS
86%
30-5
68%
21-10
71%
24-10
74%
20-7
TTL
47%
16-18-1
52%
16-15
100%
34-0
100%
27-0
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