TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
7-3 | Road
63
UCONN
HUSKIESCONN
9-1 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
LONGHORNS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
LONGHORNS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (UConn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)
TEX By 1-7 points
8.0%
TEX By 8-14 points
2.2%
CONN By 1-7 points
20.1%
CONN By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
71
TEXAS
UConn
83
UCONN
Simulated Score
Texas
78
TEXAS
UConn
75
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Longhorns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Longhorns (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 12, 2025
TEX @ CONN
63 - 71
Dec 8, 2024
CONN @ TEX
76 - 65
Nov 20, 2023
CONN @ TEX
81 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+41.8% more
UConn: 4.4
vs
Texas: 3.1
Assists (L5)
+13.5% more
UConn: 16.9
vs
Texas: 14.9
Turnovers (L5)
+23.0% more
Texas: 11.7
vs
UConn: 9.0
Rebounding (L5)
+10.0% more
Texas: 38.5
vs
UConn: 34.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
71.0
63
CONN Score
83.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 36.1
38.0 / 31.0
Assists
16.9 / 14.9
23.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.1
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 52.9
55.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 78.6
54.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 38.5
29.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.5 / 5.4
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 11.7
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
CONN
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
TEX
CONN
TEX
ML
76%
29-9
58%
21-15
66%
23-12
56%
19-15
ATS
74%
28-10
56%
20-16
66%
23-12
56%
19-15
TTL
50%
19-19
64%
23-13
100%
35-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
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