EAST TEXAS A&M
LIONSETAM
5-4 | Road
66
MCNEESE
COWBOYSMCN
8-2 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
COWBOYS
0%
LIONS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (McNeese)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MCN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)
ETAM By 1-7 points
24.3%
ETAM By 8-14 points
13.7%
MCN By 1-7 points
26.2%
MCN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
East Texas A&M
78
EAST TEXAS A&M
McNeese
79
MCNEESE
Simulated Score
East Texas A&M
63
EAST TEXAS A&M
McNeese
75
MCNEESE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (+20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
MCN @ ETAM
97 - 54
Dec 12, 2025
ETAM @ MCN
66 - 102
Feb 10, 2025
ETAM @ MCN
51 - 67
Jan 4, 2025
MCN @ ETAM
75 - 56
Feb 5, 2024
ETAM @ MCN
51 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+102.9% more
McNeese: 12.1
vs
East Texas A&M: 6.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
McNeese: 46.6%
vs
East Texas A&M: 43.7%
Turnovers (L5)
+20.9% more
East Texas A&M: 13.0
vs
McNeese: 10.3
Assists (L5)
+20.0% more
East Texas A&M: 15.8
vs
McNeese: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score
78.0
66
MCN Score
79.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 35.0
54.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.7 / 15.8
25.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.1
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 43.7
56.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 72.4
79.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 34.1
42.0 / 28.0
Steals
12.1 / 6.0
14.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 13.0
16.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETAM
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETAM
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
MCN
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MCN
ETAM
MCN
ETAM
ML
67%
22-11
52%
13-12
88%
28-4
62%
15-9
ATS
76%
25-8
56%
14-11
88%
28-4
62%
15-9
TTL
42%
14-19
68%
17-8
100%
32-0
100%
24-0
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