Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lancers @ Eagles CBU @ EWU

CALIFORNIA BAPTIST

LANCERSCBU

8-3  |  Road

88
FINAL
Fri, Dec 12 • 9:00 PM ET
Reese Court
View Odds Details →

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

2-8  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
LANCERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (California Baptist)
LancersCBU (-3.5) 0 EaglesEWU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lancers Cover

72.6%

Eagles Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CBU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBU)

CBU By 1-7 points

26.8%

CBU By 8-14 points

24.3%

EWU By 1-7 points

16.9%

EWU By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
62
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
56
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
71
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
76
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lancers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lancers (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 12, 2025 CBU @ EWU 88 - 83
Nov 23, 2024 EWU @ CBU 68 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +11.0% more
California Baptist: 39.6 vs Eastern Washington: 35.2
Steals (L5) +48.2% more
Eastern Washington: 7.4 vs California Baptist: 5.0
Blocks (L5) +27.7% more
Eastern Washington: 2.6 vs California Baptist: 2.1
Turnovers (L5) +15.4% more
Eastern Washington: 14.2 vs California Baptist: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBU Score 62.0 88
EWU Score 56.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 29.6 50.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.5 / 11.4 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.1 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 42.3 49.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 73.5 / 69.5 67.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 35.2 / 39.6 24.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.4 / 5.0 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 12.3 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7% Total +/-: -4.1
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
CBU
EWU
CBU
ML
64% 21-12
50% 17-17
69% 22-10
76% 25-8
ATS
64% 21-12
53% 18-16
69% 22-10
76% 25-8
TTL
48% 16-17
47% 16-18
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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