DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
17-11-3 | Road
1
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
13-11-6 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Alec Regula
#75 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Alec Regula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
OILERS
0%
RED WINGS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 11, 2025
DET @ EDM
1 - 4
Oct 19, 2025
EDM @ DET
2 - 4
Jan 30, 2025
DET @ EDM
3 - 2
Oct 27, 2024
EDM @ DET
3 - 2
Feb 13, 2024
DET @ EDM
4 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+17.1%
Edmonton: 41.8%
vs
Detroit: 24.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.5%
Edmonton: 55.9%
vs
Detroit: 51.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+36.4% more
Detroit: 22.8
vs
Edmonton: 14.5
Takeaways (L5)
+24.4% more
Detroit: 4.2
vs
Edmonton: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.0
1
EDM Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.5 / 22.8
20.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
55.9 / 51.5
54.2 / 45.8
Hits
16.6 / 18.1
25.0 / 9.0
Power Play %
41.8 / 24.7
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.3 / 27.5
29.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 4.2
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
DET
EDM
DET
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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