DALLAS
STARSDAL
21-5-5 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
16-9-5 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.07 | 0.900 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.00 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.07
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.900 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
WILD
0%
STARS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
DAL By 1 goal
12.1%
DAL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
DAL @ MIN
2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026
MIN @ DAL
4 - 2
Apr 25, 2026
DAL @ MIN
2 - 3
Apr 22, 2026
DAL @ MIN
4 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
MIN @ DAL
6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+69.3% more
Minnesota: 23.3
vs
Dallas: 13.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.0% more
Minnesota: 28.2
vs
Dallas: 22.9
Power Play % (L5)
+20.0%
Dallas: 28.7%
vs
Minnesota: 8.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.0%
Dallas: 53.4%
vs
Minnesota: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.0
2
MIN Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 16.7
20.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
43.4 / 53.4
47.6 / 52.4
Hits
23.3 / 13.8
26.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
8.7 / 28.7
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
28.2 / 22.9
32.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
5.7 / 5.4
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DAL
MIN
DAL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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