BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
12-14-4 | Road
3
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
11-16-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 2.00 | 0.938 | -- |
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 3.11 | 0.800 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.11
0.938 Ldr
Save %
0.800
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
0%
CANUCKS
100%
SABRES
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 6, 2026
VAN @ BUF
3 - 5
Dec 11, 2025
BUF @ VAN
3 - 2
Jan 21, 2025
BUF @ VAN
3 - 2
Nov 29, 2024
VAN @ BUF
4 - 3
Mar 19, 2024
BUF @ VAN
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+28.0%
Buffalo: 30.8%
vs
Vancouver: 2.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+21.8% more
Buffalo: 5.3
vs
Vancouver: 4.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.5% more
Buffalo: 11.0
vs
Vancouver: 9.7
Hits (L5)
+33.5% more
Vancouver: 23.1
vs
Buffalo: 17.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
3.0
3
VAN Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
9.7 / 11.0
7.0 / 26.0
Faceoff %
52.9 / 44.1
59.5 / 40.5
Hits
23.1 / 17.3
22.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
2.8 / 30.8
33.3 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.9 / 30.2
32.0 / 15.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 5.3
4.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
BUF
VAN
BUF
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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