ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
19-10-1 | Road
2
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
17-11-3 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ville Husso
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Matthew Schaefer
#48 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso | None-None | 5.31 | 0.865 | -- |
| Matthew Schaefer | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.31
GAA
--
0.865
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
DUCKS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
ANA By 1 goal
12.1%
ANA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
NYI @ ANA
1 - 5
Dec 11, 2025
ANA @ NYI
2 - 5
Mar 9, 2025
NYI @ ANA
1 - 4
Oct 29, 2024
ANA @ NYI
3 - 1
Mar 10, 2024
NYI @ ANA
6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+15.3%
New York: 26.3%
vs
Anaheim: 10.9%
Hits (L5)
+10.1% more
New York: 21.9
vs
Anaheim: 19.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.7% more
Anaheim: 35.1
vs
New York: 26.5
Takeaways (L5)
+12.6% more
Anaheim: 5.7
vs
New York: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
3.0
2
NYI Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 14.9
18.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
49.3 / 50.3
54.3 / 45.7
Hits
21.9 / 19.9
20.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
26.3 / 10.9
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 35.1
37.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 5.7
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
ANA
NYI
ANA
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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