OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
13-12-4 | Road
6
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
13-11-6 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 3.00 | 0.889 | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 12.06 | 0.400 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
12.06
0.889 Ldr
Save %
0.400
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
100%
SENATORS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
OTT By 1 goal
17.5%
OTT By 2-3 goals
37.2%
CBJ By 1 goal
6.6%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 20, 2026
OTT @ CBJ
4 - 1
Dec 29, 2025
CBJ @ OTT
4 - 1
Dec 11, 2025
OTT @ CBJ
6 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
OTT @ CBJ
2 - 5
Apr 6, 2025
CBJ @ OTT
0 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+35.6% more
Ottawa: 24.3
vs
Columbus: 15.6
Power Play % (L5)
+23.8%
Ottawa: 48.1%
vs
Columbus: 24.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.9% more
Ottawa: 33.3
vs
Columbus: 30.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.6%
Ottawa: 51.6%
vs
Columbus: 46.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
4.0
6
CBJ Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 12.4
12.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
46.0 / 51.6
42.2 / 57.8
Hits
15.6 / 24.3
23.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
24.4 / 48.1
100.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
30.0 / 33.3
27.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 4.8
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
OTT
CBJ
OTT
ML
50%
1-1
0%
0-3
100%
2-0
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
1-1
0%
0-3
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-2
67%
2-1
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