WESTERN CAROLINA
CATAMOUNTSWCU
4-6 | Road
74
VIRGINIA TECH
HOKIESVT
9-2 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
HOKIES
0%
CATAMOUNTS
--
HOKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Virginia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VT -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)
WCU By 1-7 points
4.8%
WCU By 8-14 points
1.1%
VT By 1-7 points
15.3%
VT By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Carolina
77
WESTERN CAROLINA
Virginia Tech
92
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
Western Carolina
64
WESTERN CAROLINA
Virginia Tech
81
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hokies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hokies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hokies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Hokies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 11, 2025
WCU @ VT
74 - 96
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Virginia Tech: 33.8%
vs
Western Carolina: 27.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.5%
Virginia Tech: 71.4%
vs
Western Carolina: 67.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Virginia Tech: 45.5%
vs
Western Carolina: 43.6%
Rebounding (L5)
+23.5% more
Western Carolina: 41.5
vs
Virginia Tech: 31.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WCU Score
77.0
74
VT Score
92.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 27.8
48.0 / 40.0
Assists
15.2 / 14.8
15.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.8
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 43.6
53.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 67.9
65.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 41.5
36.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.9 / 7.4
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 12.0
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
VT
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCU
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
VT
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
WCU
VT
WCU
ML
53%
17-15
63%
19-11
72%
23-9
76%
22-7
ATS
59%
19-13
73%
22-8
72%
23-9
77%
23-7
TTL
69%
22-10
67%
20-10
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
Virginia Basketball Reveals 2026-27 ACC Slate: Duke and Virginia…
Virginia Tech Men's Basketball 2026-27 ACC Schedule Revealed: Lo…
Hokies Land Clemson Guard Butta Johnson in Late Offseason Boost
Mavericks Rookie Tobi Lawal Earns Elite 99 Rating in NBA 2K27 fo…
Mar 4, 2025; Blacksburg, Virginia, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels…