SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
6-4 | Road
63
SYRACUSE
ORANGESYR
6-3 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
ORANGE
0%
HAWKS
--
ORANGE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SYRACUSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Syracuse)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SYR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SYR)
JOES By 1-7 points
23.0%
JOES By 8-14 points
12.2%
SYR By 1-7 points
26.8%
SYR By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Joseph's
55
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Syracuse
57
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
Saint Joseph's
71
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Syracuse
76
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Orange
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orange
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Orange (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Orange (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 11, 2025
JOES @ SYR
63 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+10.7% more
Syracuse: 7.7
vs
Saint Joseph's: 6.9
Blocks (L5)
+10.5% more
Syracuse: 5.8
vs
Saint Joseph's: 5.2
Turnovers (L5)
+9.0% more
Syracuse: 13.3
vs
Saint Joseph's: 12.2
Assists (L5)
+35.8% more
Saint Joseph's: 17.9
vs
Syracuse: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JOES Score
55.0
63
SYR Score
57.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.1 / 30.6
43.0 / 19.0
Assists
11.5 / 17.9
9.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.8 / 5.2
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 44.7
47.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
58.8 / 83.3
54.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 38.6
34.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.7 / 6.9
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 12.2
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOES
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
SYR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOES
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
SYR
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
JOES
SYR
JOES
ML
78%
25-7
51%
18-17
69%
22-10
61%
20-13
ATS
69%
22-10
60%
21-14
69%
22-10
61%
20-13
TTL
66%
21-11
54%
19-16
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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