AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
JAGUARS
0%
PHOENIX
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IUIN -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)
GB By 1-7 points
1.7%
GB By 8-14 points
0.3%
IUIN By 1-7 points
8.0%
IUIN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
65
GREEN BAY
IU Indianapolis
85
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
Green Bay
72
GREEN BAY
IU Indianapolis
68
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phoenix
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Phoenix (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 9, 2026
IUIN @ GB
59 - 75
Dec 11, 2025
GB @ IUIN
85 - 75
Jan 22, 2025
IUIN @ GB
86 - 77
Dec 4, 2024
GB @ IUIN
75 - 84
Feb 1, 2024
IUIN @ GB
56 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+92.2% more
IU Indianapolis: 4.2
vs
Green Bay: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+73.5% more
IU Indianapolis: 19.0
vs
Green Bay: 10.9
Steals (L5)
+35.0% more
IU Indianapolis: 8.3
vs
Green Bay: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.0%
Green Bay: 73.8%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 66.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
65.0
85
IUIN Score
85.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.6 / 29.6
26.0 / 43.0
Assists
19.0 / 10.9
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.2
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.6 / 47.2
39.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
66.9 / 73.8
77.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 32.1
32.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.3 / 6.2
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 12.8
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
IUIN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
GB
IUIN
GB
ML
69%
22-10
48%
16-17
78%
25-7
67%
22-11
ATS
66%
21-11
52%
17-16
78%
25-7
67%
22-11
TTL
50%
16-16
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0