GREEN BAY

PHOENIXGB

4-7  |  Road

85
FINAL
Thu, Dec 11 • 6:30 PM ET
The Jungle
View Odds Details →

IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

3-8  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
📊
JAGUARS
0%
PHOENIX --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
PhoenixGB (-3.5) 0 JaguarsIUIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

2.3%

Jaguars Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IUIN -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)

GB By 1-7 points

1.7%

GB By 8-14 points

0.3%

IUIN By 1-7 points

8.0%

IUIN By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
65
GREEN BAY
85
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
72
GREEN BAY
68
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaguars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Phoenix Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jaguars (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Phoenix (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 9, 2026 IUIN @ GB 59 - 75
Dec 11, 2025 GB @ IUIN 85 - 75
Jan 22, 2025 IUIN @ GB 86 - 77
Dec 4, 2024 GB @ IUIN 75 - 84
Feb 1, 2024 IUIN @ GB 56 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +92.2% more
IU Indianapolis: 4.2 vs Green Bay: 2.2
Assists (L5) +73.5% more
IU Indianapolis: 19.0 vs Green Bay: 10.9
Steals (L5) +35.0% more
IU Indianapolis: 8.3 vs Green Bay: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
Green Bay: 73.8% vs IU Indianapolis: 66.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 65.0 85
IUIN Score 85.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.6 / 29.6 26.0 / 43.0
Assists 19.0 / 10.9 13.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.2 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 47.2 39.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 66.9 / 73.8 77.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 32.2 / 32.1 32.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.3 / 6.2 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 12.8 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.1
IUIN
--