NORTH DAKOTA STATE
BISONNDSU
8-3 | Road
80
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
ROADRUNNERSCSUB
4-7 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
ROADRUNNERS
100%
BISON
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (North Dakota State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NDSU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NDSU)
NDSU By 1-7 points
9.3%
NDSU By 8-14 points
20.1%
CSUB By 1-7 points
2.2%
CSUB By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
North Dakota State
79
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Cal State Bakersfield
60
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Simulated Score
North Dakota State
68
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Cal State Bakersfield
72
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bison
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roadrunners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bison (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Roadrunners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 11, 2025
NDSU @ CSUB
80 - 69
Dec 23, 2024
CSUB @ NDSU
60 - 94
Nov 11, 2024
NDSU @ CSUB
81 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.9% more
North Dakota State: 13.9
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 10.4
Rebounding (L5)
+17.9% more
North Dakota State: 38.1
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 31.3
Steals (L5)
+9.7% more
North Dakota State: 8.5
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 7.7
Blocks (L5)
+47.9% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 4.5
vs
North Dakota State: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NDSU Score
79.0
80
CSUB Score
60.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 32.2
25.0 / 24.0
Assists
10.4 / 13.9
8.0 / 6.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.0
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 43.2
38.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 72.0
81.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 38.1
37.0 / 48.0
Steals
7.7 / 8.5
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 12.6
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NDSU
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
CSUB
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NDSU
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
CSUB
11-18-1
(37.9%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUB
NDSU
CSUB
NDSU
ML
55%
17-14
49%
17-18
71%
22-9
59%
20-14
ATS
61%
19-12
54%
19-16
71%
22-9
59%
20-14
TTL
58%
18-13
43%
15-20
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
