AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
RIVER HAWKS
0%
EAGLES
--
RIVER HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
UMASS LOWELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (UMass Lowell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UML -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UML)
FISH By 1-7 points
0.0%
FISH By 8-14 points
0.0%
UML By 1-7 points
0.0%
UML By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Fisher College
61
FISHER COLLEGE
UMass Lowell
102
UMASS LOWELL
Simulated Score
Fisher College
58
FISHER COLLEGE
UMass Lowell
92
UMASS LOWELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
River Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
River Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
River Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
River Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
FISH @ UML
73 - 122
Nov 20, 2024
FISH @ UML
66 - 121
Dec 5, 2023
FISH @ UML
69 - 117
Nov 7, 2022
FISH @ UML
43 - 108
Nov 27, 2021
FISH @ UML
38 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+27.8% more
UMass Lowell: 38.2
vs
Fisher College: 29.9
Assists (L5)
+26.8% more
UMass Lowell: 13.0
vs
Fisher College: 10.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+17.1%
UMass Lowell: 47.9%
vs
Fisher College: 30.8%
Blocks (L5)
+12.6% more
UMass Lowell: 2.7
vs
Fisher College: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FISH Score
61.0
73
UML Score
102.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.4 / 25.1
29.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.0 / 10.3
21.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.4
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 30.8
56.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
60.0 / 72.8
68.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 29.9
67.0 / 19.0
Steals
5.2 / 8.6
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 14.3
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FISH
--
UML
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FISH
--
UML
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FISH
--
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UML
FISH
UML
FISH
ML
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
ATS
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0