TOUGALOO
BULLDOGSTOUGA
0-0 | Road
72
TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
7-3 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
GREEN WAVE
0%
BULLDOGS
--
GREEN WAVE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
98.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Tulane)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TULN -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)
TOUGA By 1-7 points
8.0%
TOUGA By 8-14 points
2.2%
TULN By 1-7 points
20.1%
TULN By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Tougaloo
43
TOUGALOO
Tulane
55
TULANE
Simulated Score
Tougaloo
58
TOUGALOO
Tulane
92
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Green Wave
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Green Wave (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 98.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
TOUGA @ TULN
72 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+218.0% more
Tulane: 3.9
vs
Tougaloo: 1.2
Steals (L5)
+33.9% more
Tulane: 8.9
vs
Tougaloo: 6.7
Assists (L5)
+31.8% more
Tulane: 13.2
vs
Tougaloo: 10.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Tulane: 42.9%
vs
Tougaloo: 38.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOUGA Score
43.0
72
TULN Score
55.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 28.4
33.0 / 23.0
Assists
13.2 / 10.0
21.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.9 / 1.2
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 38.2
45.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
73.7 / 71.1
75.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
29.7 / 34.3
40.0 / 30.0
Steals
8.9 / 6.7
15.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 13.4
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOUGA
--
TULN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOUGA
--
TULN
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TOUGA
--
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
TOUGA
TULN
TOUGA
ML
70%
23-10
50%
1-1
47%
15-17
100%
2-0
ATS
62%
20-12-1
50%
1-1
47%
15-17
100%
2-0
TTL
55%
18-15
100%
2-0
100%
32-0
100%
2-0
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