AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
ROOS
100%
WILDCATS
--
ROOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Weber State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WEB -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)
WEB By 1-7 points
25.3%
WEB By 8-14 points
26.2%
KC By 1-7 points
13.7%
KC By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Weber State
74
WEBER STATE
Kansas City
66
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Weber State
70
WEBER STATE
Kansas City
76
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roos
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Roos (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
WEB @ KC
64 - 60
Nov 29, 2025
KC @ WEB
61 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.1% more
Weber State: 3.3
vs
Kansas City: 1.5
Assists (L5)
+30.0% more
Weber State: 14.3
vs
Kansas City: 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+18.9% more
Weber State: 37.1
vs
Kansas City: 30.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.0%
Weber State: 34.8%
vs
Kansas City: 24.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WEB Score
74.0
64
KC Score
66.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.9 / 34.8
16.0 / 25.0
Assists
10.0 / 14.3
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.5 / 3.3
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 47.8
36.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
65.9 / 70.3
67.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
30.1 / 37.1
39.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.6 / 6.6
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
16.4 / 13.4
16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.7
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
WEB
KC
WEB
ML
63%
19-11
73%
22-8
67%
20-10
73%
22-8
ATS
67%
20-10
63%
19-11
67%
20-10
74%
23-8
TTL
70%
21-9
83%
25-5
100%
30-0
100%
31-0