LA
CLIPPERSLAC
6-18 | Road
113
HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
15-6 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
ROCKETS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
ROCKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
LAC By 1-7 points
4.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
1.1%
HOU By 1-7 points
15.3%
HOU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
110
LA
Houston
125
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
LA
113
LA
Houston
118
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockets (-9)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Rockets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o221.5
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u221.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
LAC @ HOU
105 - 102
Feb 10, 2026
LAC @ HOU
95 - 102
Dec 23, 2025
HOU @ LAC
108 - 128
Dec 11, 2025
LAC @ HOU
113 - 115
Apr 9, 2025
HOU @ LAC
117 - 134
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+141.2% more
Houston: 6.7
vs
LA: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+36.2% more
Houston: 18.5
vs
LA: 13.6
Assists (L5)
+13.5% more
Houston: 24.2
vs
LA: 21.4
Rebounding (L5)
+10.3% more
Houston: 44.6
vs
LA: 40.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
110.0
113
HOU Score
125.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 31.6
35.0 / 37.0
Assists
24.2 / 21.4
26.0 / 25.0
Blocks
6.7 / 2.8
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
51.6 / 46.3
46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
83.3 / 79.1
81.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
44.6 / 40.4
51.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.9 / 9.2
9.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
18.5 / 13.6
19.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
LAC
HOU
LAC
ML
61%
69-44
60%
59-40
59%
51-35
55%
45-37
ATS
62%
70-43
66%
65-33-1
59%
51-35
55%
45-37
TTL
51%
58-55
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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