Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Black Bears @ Terriers ME @ BU

MAINE

BLACK BEARSME

0-11  |  Road

69
FINAL
Wed, Dec 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Case Gym
View Odds Details →

BOSTON UNIVERSITY

TERRIERSBU

4-6  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
100%
📊
TERRIERS
0%
BLACK BEARS --
TERRIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Boston University)
Black BearsME (-3.5) 0 TerriersBU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Black Bears Cover

34.5%

Terriers Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)

ME By 1-7 points

20.1%

ME By 8-14 points

9.3%

BU By 1-7 points

27.4%

BU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
64
MAINE
68
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
68
MAINE
72
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Terriers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terriers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Terriers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Terriers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 10, 2025 ME @ BU 69 - 59
Dec 29, 2024 BU @ ME 59 - 56
Dec 6, 2023 ME @ BU 74 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +47.7% more
Boston University: 14.8 vs Maine: 10.0
Rebounding (L5) +21.5% more
Boston University: 32.4 vs Maine: 26.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.1%
Boston University: 45.3% vs Maine: 34.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.9%
Boston University: 52.4% vs Maine: 44.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ME Score 64.0 69
BU Score 68.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 45.3 / 34.2 26.0 / 58.0
Assists 14.8 / 10.0 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.8 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 52.4 / 44.5 36.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 62.5 / 59.5 63.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 26.7 32.0 / 25.0
Steals 5.0 / 9.2 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 16.4 15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
BU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
BU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -2.8
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: +8.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BU
ME
BU
ME
ML
68% 23-11
45% 14-17
62% 21-13
52% 16-15
ATS
62% 21-13
55% 17-14
62% 21-13
52% 16-15
TTL
65% 22-12
55% 17-14
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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