Home / NFL Projections NFL / Ravens @ Bengals BAL @ CIN

BALTIMORE

RAVENSBAL

6-7  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 1:00 PM ET
Paycor Stadium
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

4-9  |  Home

0
Key Game
Tyler Loop
KEY GAME

Tyler Loop

#33 | Place kicker
@
Ryan Rehkow
KEY GAME

Ryan Rehkow

#8 | Punter
Player
Tyler Loop None-None
Ryan Rehkow None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAVENS
100%
📊
BENGALS
0%
RAVENS --
BENGALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
69.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Cincinnati)
RavensBAL (-3.5) 0 BengalsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ravens Cover

30.9%

Bengals Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CIN -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)

BAL By 1-6 points

12.9%

BAL By 7-13 points

9.6%

CIN By 1-6 points

16.5%

CIN By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
31
BALTIMORE
38
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
23
BALTIMORE
27
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bengals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bengals Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bengals (+3) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Bengals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o52.0 Loss
Proj Total: 69.0
D
Sim u52.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 BAL @ CIN 24 - 0
Nov 27, 2025 CIN @ BAL 32 - 14
Nov 7, 2024 CIN @ BAL 34 - 35
Oct 6, 2024 BAL @ CIN 41 - 38
Nov 16, 2023 CIN @ BAL 20 - 34
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +35.0% more
Cincinnati: 255.5 vs Baltimore: 189.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +20.0% more
Cincinnati: 0.5 vs Baltimore: 0.3
First Downs (L5) +18.4% more
Cincinnati: 22.5 vs Baltimore: 19.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +40.7% more
Baltimore: 162.0 vs Cincinnati: 96.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BAL Score 31.0 24
CIN Score 38.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.5 / 19.0 18.0 / 15.0
Net Passing Yards 255.5 / 189.3 198.0 / 128.0
Rushing Yards 96.1 / 162.0 100.0 / 189.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.2 / 0.29
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.66 / 0.34
Total Yards 351.6 / 351.3 298.0 / 317.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.9 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.5 / 5.5 4.2 / 7.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
18%MONEY82%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
CIN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.0
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
BAL
CIN
BAL
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2-1
75% 3-1
100% 3-0-1
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cowboys' Defensive Overhaul Exposed as Unmitigated Disaster in L…
dallasnews 0 minutes ago
Garrett Wilson's Accountability Shines Amid Jets' 1-3 Start, But…
si 3 hours, 35 minutes ago
Bengals Defender Exposes Malik Willis's Pre-Throw Tic Before Dol…
bleacherreport 3 hours, 44 minutes ago
Steelers' Michael Pittman Jr. Sidelined Multiple Weeks with Foot…
newsweek 9 hours, 37 minutes ago
CeeDee Lamb Nears Historic Cowboys Milestone in Thursday Night C…
newsweek 9 hours, 38 minutes ago