CLEVELAND
BROWNSCLE
3-10 | Road
3
CHICAGO
BEARSCHI
9-4 | Home
31
Key Game
KEY GAME
Chris Williams
#-- | Defensive Tackle@
KEY GAME
Tory Taylor
#19 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Chris Williams | None-None |
| Tory Taylor | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BROWNS
100%
BEARS
0%
BROWNS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
53.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CHI -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CLE By 1-6 points
3.8%
CLE By 7-13 points
1.8%
CHI By 1-6 points
7.9%
CHI By 7-13 points
14.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
16
CLEVELAND
Chicago
37
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
20
CLEVELAND
Chicago
24
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o38.0
Loss
Proj Total: 53.0
D
Sim
u38.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
CLE @ CHI
3 - 31
Dec 17, 2023
CHI @ CLE
17 - 20
Sep 26, 2021
CHI @ CLE
6 - 26
Dec 24, 2017
CLE @ CHI
3 - 20
Dec 15, 2013
CHI @ CLE
38 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+85.5% more
Chicago: 172.1
vs
Cleveland: 92.8
First Downs (L5)
+33.6% more
Chicago: 22.5
vs
Cleveland: 16.8
Total Yards (L5)
+20.0% more
Chicago: 362.1
vs
Cleveland: 301.7
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+17.0% more
Chicago: 0.5
vs
Cleveland: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
16.0
3
CHI Score
37.0
31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
22.5 / 16.8
21.0 / 9.0
Net Passing Yards
190.0 / 208.9
219.0 / 142.0
Rushing Yards
172.1 / 92.8
142.0 / 50.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.5 / 0.3
0.38 / 0.29
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.5
0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards
362.1 / 301.7
361.0 / 192.0
Turnovers
0.9 / 1.7
0.0 / 3.0
Yards Per Play
5.1 / 5.0
5.6 / 3.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +2.1
CHI
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +2.1
CHI
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: +3.6
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CLE
CHI
CLE
ML
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
TTL
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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