Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Great Danes @ Bulldogs UALB @ YALE

UALBANY

GREAT DANESUALB

3-7  |  Road

82
FINAL
Wed, Dec 10 • 4:30 PM ET
MassMutual Center
View Odds Details →

YALE

BULLDOGSYALE

10-1  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
GREAT DANES --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Yale)
Great DanesUALB (-3.5) 0 BulldogsYALE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Great Danes Cover

27.4%

Bulldogs Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YALE -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)

UALB By 1-7 points

16.9%

UALB By 8-14 points

6.8%

YALE By 1-7 points

26.8%

YALE By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
UALBANY
76
YALE
Simulated Score
68
UALBANY
75
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 10, 2025 UALB @ YALE 82 - 93
Dec 7, 2021 UALB @ YALE 52 - 71
Dec 4, 2019 YALE @ UALB 61 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +16.3% more
Yale: 17.7 vs UAlbany: 15.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +14.8%
Yale: 41.3% vs UAlbany: 26.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +12.9%
Yale: 77.2% vs UAlbany: 64.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Yale: 50.5% vs UAlbany: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UALB Score 70.0 82
YALE Score 76.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.3 / 26.5 37.0 / 48.0
Assists 17.7 / 15.2 20.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.7 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 43.7 48.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 77.2 / 64.3 76.0 / 37.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 36.0 48.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.6 / 7.0 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 8.5 / 10.8 10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
YALE Advantage
24-7-0 (77.4%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0 (37.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
YALE Advantage
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +0.3
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
UALB
YALE
UALB
ML
48% 15-16
55% 17-14
58% 18-13
71% 22-9
ATS
65% 20-11
77% 24-7
58% 18-13
72% 23-9
TTL
61% 19-12
61% 19-12
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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