Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / RedHawks @ Bulldogs M-OH @ UNCA

MIAMI (OH)

REDHAWKSM-OH

9-0  |  Road

90
FINAL
Wed, Dec 10 • 6:00 PM ET
Kimmel Arena
View Odds Details →

UNC ASHEVILLE

BULLDOGSUNCA

4-6  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
REDHAWKS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Miami (OH))
RedHawksM-OH (-3.5) 0 BulldogsUNCA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

RedHawks Cover

97.1%

Bulldogs Cover

2.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around M-OH -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)

M-OH By 1-7 points

9.3%

M-OH By 8-14 points

20.1%

UNCA By 1-7 points

2.2%

UNCA By 8-14 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
76
MIAMI (OH)
57
UNC ASHEVILLE
Simulated Score
71
MIAMI (OH)
75
UNC ASHEVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI RedHawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI RedHawks (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 10, 2025 M-OH @ UNCA 90 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +57.7% more
Miami (OH): 3.4 vs UNC Asheville: 1.4
Assists (L5) +38.4% more
Miami (OH): 18.5 vs UNC Asheville: 11.4
Steals (L5) +29.9% more
Miami (OH): 10.0 vs UNC Asheville: 7.0
Rebounding (L5) +25.5% more
Miami (OH): 42.0 vs UNC Asheville: 31.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score 76.0 90
UNCA Score 57.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.8 / 37.4 45.0 / 38.0
Assists 11.4 / 18.5 20.0 / 17.0
Blocks 1.4 / 3.4 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 51.5 48.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 72.6 / 77.2 77.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 31.3 / 42.0 33.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.0 / 10.0 1.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 12.1 12.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH Advantage
32-2-0 (94.1%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
UNCA
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
UNCA
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +5.6
UNCA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCA
M-OH
UNCA
M-OH
ML
53% 16-14
45% 15-18
63% 19-11
41% 13-19
ATS
57% 17-13
61% 20-13
63% 19-11
41% 13-19
TTL
60% 18-12
61% 20-13
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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