AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
RAMS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Fordham)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)
FDU By 1-7 points
15.3%
FDU By 8-14 points
5.8%
FOR By 1-7 points
26.2%
FOR By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
66
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Fordham
73
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
68
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Fordham
75
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
FDU @ FOR
54 - 75
Dec 4, 2024
FDU @ FOR
75 - 84
Nov 30, 2023
FDU @ FOR
52 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+77.0% more
Fordham: 2.7
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Fordham: 47.9%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 46.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+14.3% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 13.4
vs
Fordham: 11.5
Rebounding (L5)
+11.4% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 39.5
vs
Fordham: 35.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
66.0
54
FOR Score
73.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 33.4
43.0 / 29.0
Assists
15.4 / 15.3
15.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.7 / 1.5
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 46.1
48.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
69.1 / 71.5
69.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 39.5
42.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.2
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 13.4
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
FOR
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
FDU
FOR
FDU
ML
59%
19-13
65%
20-11
59%
19-13
74%
23-8
ATS
59%
19-13
68%
21-10
59%
19-13
74%
23-8
TTL
59%
19-13
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
31-0