BRYANT
BULLDOGSBRY
3-7 | Road
63
IONA
GAELSIONA
7-3 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
GAELS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
GAELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
BRYANT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Bryant)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BRY -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRY)
BRY By 1-7 points
0.6%
BRY By 8-14 points
3.3%
IONA By 1-7 points
0.1%
IONA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Bryant
85
BRYANT
Iona
53
IONA
Simulated Score
Bryant
72
BRYANT
Iona
78
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gaels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Gaels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
BRY @ IONA
63 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+47.6% more
Bryant: 4.6
vs
Iona: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+12.6% more
Bryant: 12.5
vs
Iona: 11.0
Assists (L5)
+18.1% more
Iona: 15.6
vs
Bryant: 13.2
Steals (L5)
+17.3% more
Iona: 8.1
vs
Bryant: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRY Score
85.0
63
IONA Score
53.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 29.3
44.0 / 42.0
Assists
15.6 / 13.2
18.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.6
0.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 40.7
41.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
76.0 / 76.7
89.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 34.9
31.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.1 / 6.9
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 12.5
8.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
IONA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
IONA
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
BRY
IONA
BRY
ML
41%
13-19
70%
21-9
62%
20-12
80%
24-6
ATS
53%
17-15
73%
22-8
62%
20-12
80%
24-6
TTL
66%
21-11
67%
20-10
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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