MASSACHUSETTS
MINUTEMENMASS
6-3 | Road
76
BOSTON COLLEGE
EAGLESBC
5-5 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
MINUTEMEN
100%
EAGLES
0%
MINUTEMEN
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Boston College)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)
MASS By 1-7 points
0.5%
MASS By 8-14 points
0.1%
BC By 1-7 points
3.3%
BC By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Massachusetts
51
MASSACHUSETTS
Boston College
76
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
Massachusetts
68
MASSACHUSETTS
Boston College
72
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
MASS @ BC
76 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.6% more
Boston College: 4.7
vs
Massachusetts: 3.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
Boston College: 73.6%
vs
Massachusetts: 67.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Boston College: 35.4%
vs
Massachusetts: 31.3%
Steals (L5)
+61.5% more
Massachusetts: 8.3
vs
Boston College: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MASS Score
51.0
76
BC Score
76.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 31.3
13.0 / 44.0
Assists
9.6 / 17.5
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.7 / 3.6
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
40.7 / 46.5
38.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 67.1
77.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 36.6
36.0 / 43.0
Steals
3.2 / 8.3
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 13.2
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MASS
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
BC
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MASS
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
BC
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
MASS
BC
MASS
ML
61%
19-12
44%
14-18
61%
17-11
68%
21-10
ATS
73%
22-8-1
47%
15-17
61%
17-11
68%
21-10
TTL
61%
19-12
56%
18-14
100%
28-0
100%
31-0
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